PRQ
betaThe register, Monte Carlo engine, and P50 / P80 / P90 outputs are live today. Correlation between risks, sensitivity tornadoes, and PDF reports with a methodology annex are on the runway.
Project
Risk register
4 risks · 4 active in the simulation
| Risk | Category | P(occur) | Impact distribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operational | 30% | tri$50,000/$120,000/$350,000 | ||
| Schedule | 50% | pert$75,000/$200,000/$500,000 | ||
| Technical | 10% | tri$200,000/$600,000/$1,500,000 | ||
| Regulatory | 20% | pert$30,000/$80,000/$250,000 |
Simulation
10 000 is enough to stabilise P50 / P80 / P90 on a register of this size. Bigger runs tighten the tails.
This simulation assumes no correlation between risk items. Positively correlated risks will produce understated tail outcomes.